Psephologist-turned-politician Yogendra Yadav has predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would win another general election, dashigning the hopes of the Congress party for an electoral comeback, following in the footsteps of renowned political scientist Prashant Kishor and US poll analyst Ian Bremmer.
Yadav does, however, see a bright spot for the Congress party in the current Lok Sabha elections: its seat total may surpass 100.
Kishor, who is receiving flak on social media for his prediction in favour of the Bharatiya Janata Party, backed Yadav’s seat forecast. He said according to Yadav, the BJP will win between 240-260 seats and its allies 34-45 seats – which means the NDA’s total may hover between 275 and 305 seats.
“A trusted face among those who understand elections and socio-political issues in the country, YogendraYadav, has shared his “final assessment” of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. According to Yogendra ji, BJP may get 240-260 seats and NDA’s allies may get 35-45 seats in these elections. Meaning 275-305 seats for BJP/NDA. To form the government in the country, 272 seats are required and BJP/NDA has 303/323 seats in the outgoing Lok Sabha. (Shiv Sena won 18 seats as part of NDA but is no longer with them). Now assess yourself whose government is being formed. On June 4, we will know who is talking about whom,” Kishor wrote on X.
Kishor, who is receiving flak on social media for his prediction in favour of the Bharatiya Janata Party, backed Yadav’s seat forecast. He said according to Yadav, the BJP will win between 240-260 seats and its allies 34-45 seats – which means the NDA’s total may hover between 275 and 305 seats.
“A trusted face among those who understand elections and socio-political issues in the country, YogendraYadav, has shared his “final assessment” of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. According to Yogendra ji, BJP may get 240-260 seats and NDA’s allies may get 35-45 seats in these elections. Meaning 275-305 seats for BJP/NDA. To form the government in the country, 272 seats are required and BJP/NDA has 303/323 seats in the outgoing Lok Sabha. (Shiv Sena won 18 seats as part of NDA but is no longer with them). Now assess yourself whose government is being formed. On June 4, we will know who is talking about whom,” Kishor wrote on X.
Per Yadav, the Congress is likely to win between 85 and 100 seats. The INDIA bloc, which hopes to stop the BJP juggernaut in its tracks, is likely to be reduced to 120-135 seats.
The Congress had won only 52 seats in the 2019 general elections.
Kishor, in an interview this week, had said the BJP would comfortably cross the majority mark because there wasn’t any significant dissatisfaction against the ruling BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
“There may be disappointment, unfulfilled aspirations, but we have not heard of widespread anger,” Prashant Kishor told NDTV, hinting that the BJP may not be able to achieve its ambitious ‘370 seats’ target.
Ian Bremmer, an American political scientist, told the channel the BJP might win between 295 and 315 seats.
The BJP had won 303 Lok Sabha seats in the 2019 general elections, riding on the ‘Modi wave’ in Hindi heartland states. For it to win 370 seats, the party will have to score landslide victories in states like Tamil Nadu, Kerala, West Bengal and Telangana.
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Source: HT
